WorldCat Identities

Manski, Charles F.

Overview
Works: 189 works in 776 publications in 2 languages and 15,371 library holdings
Genres: Conference papers and proceedings  Longitudinal studies  Abstracts 
Roles: Author, Editor, Honoree, Other
Classifications: HA29, 330.028
Publication Timeline
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Most widely held works about Charles F Manski
 
Most widely held works by Charles F Manski
Structural analysis of discrete data with econometric applications by Charles F Manski( Book )

24 editions published between 1981 and 1990 in English and Undetermined and held by 541 WorldCat member libraries worldwide

Identification problems in the social sciences by Charles F Manski( Book )

18 editions published between 1992 and 1999 in English and held by 532 WorldCat member libraries worldwide

The author draws on examples from a range of disciplines to provide social and behavioural scientists with a toolkit for finding bounds when predicting behaviours based upon nonexperimental and experimental data
College choice in America by Charles F Manski( Book )

10 editions published between 1982 and 1983 in 3 languages and held by 437 WorldCat member libraries worldwide

The processes of choosing a college and being accepted by a college are analyzed, based on data on nearly 23,000 seniors from more than 1,300 high schools from the National Longitudinal Study of the Class of 1972. Econometric modeling and descriptive statistics are provided on: student behavior in selecting a college, choosing school/nonschool alternatives, decisions by colleges concerning grant aid allocations, the enrollment effects of the Basic Educational Opportunity Grant Program, graduates' postsecondary school and early work experiences, and individual and family attributes that affect student application and college acceptance. The predictive validity of test scores and high school performance is also examined. Among the findings are: most high school graduates would be admitted to some four-year colleges of average quality, were they to apply; applicants do not necessarily prefer the highest quality school; high school class rank and Scholastic Aptitude Test (sat) scores are equally important in college admissions; federal scholarship aid has had only a small effect on enrollments at four-year colleges but a much stronger effect on attendance at two-year colleges; and the attention paid to sat scores in admissions is commensurate with the power of the scores in predicting persistence to a collge degree. (Sw)
Evaluating welfare and training programs( Book )

13 editions published between 1991 and 1992 in English and held by 398 WorldCat member libraries worldwide

Informing America's policy on illegal drugs : what we don't know keeps hurting us by National Research Council (U.S.)( Book )

11 editions published in 2001 in English and held by 362 WorldCat member libraries worldwide

Analog estimation methods in econometrics by Charles F Manski( Book )

18 editions published between 1988 and 1991 in English and Undetermined and held by 334 WorldCat member libraries worldwide

Identification for prediction and decision by Charles F Manski( Book )

10 editions published between 2007 and 2008 in English and held by 321 WorldCat member libraries worldwide

"This book is a full-scale exposition of Charles Manski's new methodology for analyzing empirical questions in the social sciences. He recommends that researchers first ask what can be learned from data alone, and then ask what can be learned when data are combined with credible weak assumptions. Inferences predicated on weak assumptions, he argues, can achieve wide consensus, while ones that require strong assumptions almost inevitably are subject to sharp disagreements."--Jacket
Public policy in an uncertain world : analysis and decisions by Charles F Manski( Book )

14 editions published between 2013 and 2014 in English and German and held by 287 WorldCat member libraries worldwide

"Public policy advocates routinely assert that "research has shown" a particular policy to be desirable. But how reliable is the analysis in the research they invoke? And how does that analysis affect the way policy is made, on issues ranging from vaccination to minimum wage to FDA drug approval? Charles F. Manski argues here that current policy is based on untrustworthy analysis. By failing to account for uncertainty in an unpredictable world, policy analysis misleads policy makers with expressions of certitude. Public Policy in an Uncertain World critiques the status quo and offers an innovation to improve how policy research is conducted and how policy makers use research. Consumers of policy analysis, whether civil servants, journalists, or concerned citizens, need to understand research methodology well enough to properly assess reported findings. In the current model, policy researchers base their predictions on strong assumptions. But as Manski demonstrates, strong assumptions lead to less credible predictions than weaker ones. His alternative approach takes account of uncertainty and thereby moves policy analysis away from incredible certitude and toward honest portrayal of partial knowledge. Manski describes analysis of research on such topics as the effect of the death penalty on homicide, of unemployment insurance on job-seeking, and of preschooling on high school graduation. And he uses other real-world scenarios to illustrate the course he recommends, in which policy makers form reasonable decisions based on partial knowledge of outcomes, and journalists evaluate research claims more closely, with a skeptical eye toward expressions of certitude."--Publisher's website
Partial identification of probability distributions by Charles F Manski( Book )

18 editions published between 2003 and 2011 in English and held by 271 WorldCat member libraries worldwide

Sample data alone never suffice to draw conclusions about populations. Inference always requires assumptions about the population and sampling process. Statistical theory has revealed much about how strength of assumptions affects the precision of point estimates, but has had much less to say about how it affects the identification of population parameters. Indeed, it has been commonplace to think of identification as a binary event a parameter is either identified or not and to view point identification as a pre-condition for inference. Yet there is enormous scope for fruitful inference using data and assumptions that partially identify population parameters. This book explains why and shows how. The book presents in a rigorous and thorough manner the main elements of Charles Manskis research on partial identification of probability distributions. One focus is prediction with missing outcome or covariate data. Another is decomposition of finite mixtures, with application to the analysis of contaminated sampling and ecological inference. A third major focus is the analysis of treatment response. Whatever the particular subject under study, the presentation follows a common path. The author first specifies the sampling process generating the available data and asks what may be learned about population parameters using the empirical evidence alone. He then ask how the (typically) setvalued identification regions for these parameters shrink if various assumptions are imposed. The approach to inference that runs throughout the book is deliberately conservative and thoroughly nonparametric. Conservative nonparametric analysis enables researchers to learn from the available data without imposing untenable assumptions. It enables establishment of a domain of consensus among researchers who may hold disparate beliefs about what assumptions are appropriate. Charles F. Manski is Board of Trustees Professor at Northwestern University. He is author of Identification Problems in the Social Sciences and Analog Estimation Methods in Econometrics. He is a Fellow of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences, the American Association for the Advancement of Science, and the Econometric Society
Social choice with partial knowledge of treatment response by Charles F Manski( Book )

6 editions published in 2005 in English and held by 260 WorldCat member libraries worldwide

"This book addresses key aspects of this broad question, exploring and partially resolving pervasive problems of identification and statistical inference that arise when studying treatment response and making treatment choices. Charles Manski addresses the treatment-choice problem directly using Abraham Wald's statistical decision theory, taking into account the ambiguity that arises from identification problems under weak but justifiable assumptions."--Jacket
Perceptions of economic insecurity : evidence from the survey of economic expectations by Jeff Dominitz( Book )

18 editions published between 1996 and 1997 in English and held by 93 WorldCat member libraries worldwide

We have recently initiated the Survey of Economic Expectations (SEE) to learn how Americans perceive their near-term futures. This paper uses SEE data on over two thousand labor force participants interviewed in 1994 and 1995 to describe how Americans in the labor force perceive the risk of near-term economic misfortune. We measure economic insecurity through responses to questions eliciting subjective probabilities of three events in the year ahead: absence of health insurance, victimization by burglary, and job loss. With item response rates exceeding 98 percent, respondents clearly are willing to answer the expectations questions and they appear to do so in a meaningful way. Using the responses to classify individuals as relatively secure, relatively insecure, and highly insecure, we find that respondents with a high risk of one adverse outcome tend also to perceive high risks of the other outcomes. Economic insecurity tends to decline with age and with schooling. Black respondents perceive much greater insecurity than do whites, especially among males. Within the period 1994-1995, we find some time-series variation in insecurity but no clear trends. We find that expectations and realizations of health insurance coverage and of jobs tend to match up quite closely, but respondents substantially overpredict the risk of burglary
Eliciting student expectations of the returns to schooling by Jeff Dominitz( Book )

20 editions published between 1994 and 1996 in English and held by 84 WorldCat member libraries worldwide

We report here on the design and first application of an interactive computer-administered personal interview (CAPI) survey eliciting from high school students and college undergraduates their expectations of the income they would earn if they were to complete different levels of schooling. We also elicit respondents' beliefs about current earnings distributions. Whereas a scattering of earlier studies have elicited point expectations of earnings unconditional on future schooling, we elicit subjective earnings distributions under alternative scenarios for future earnings. We find that respondents, even ones as young as high school sophomores, are willing and able to respond meaningfully to questions eliciting their earnings expectations in probabilistic form. Respondents vary considerably in their earnings expectations but there is a common belief that the returns to a college education are positive and that earnings rise between ages 30 and 40. There is a common belief that one's own future earnings are rather uncertain. Moreover, respondents tend to overestimate the current degree of earnings inequality in American society
Using expectations data to study subjective income expectations by Jeff Dominitz( Book )

16 editions published in 1994 in English and held by 81 WorldCat member libraries worldwide

We have collected data on the one-year-ahead income expectations of members of American households in our Survey of Economic Expectations (SEE), a module of a national continuous telephone survey conducted at the University of Wisconsin. The income-expectations questions take this form: hat do you think is the percent chance (or what are the chances out of 100) that your total household income, before taxes, will be less than Y over the next 12 months?' We use the responses to a sequence of such questions posed for different income thresholds Y to estimate each respondent's subjective probability distribution for next year's household income. We use the estimates to study the cross-sectional variation in income expectations for one year into the future
Worker perceptions of job insecurity in the mid-1990s : evidence from the survey of economic expectations by Charles F Manski( Book )

13 editions published between 1998 and 1999 in English and held by 68 WorldCat member libraries worldwide

Abstract: This paper analyzes the probabilistic measures of job insecurity that have recently become available through the nationwide Survey of Economic Expectations (SEE). Since 1994, employed SEE respondents have been asked questions eliciting their subjective probabilities of job loss in the coming year and their expectations of a good outcome should they lose their current job and have to engage in job search. The responses of 3600 persons interviewed from 1994 through early 1998 are analyzed here. It is found that workers vary considerably in their perceptions of job insecurity, with most workers perceiving little or no risk but some perceiving moderate to high risk. Expectations of job loss tend to decrease markedly with age, but so do expectations of a good outcome should job search become necessary. The net result is that composite job insecurity tends not to vary at all with age. Subjective probabilities of job loss tend to decrease with schooling and subjective probabilities of good search outcomes tend to increase with schooling; hence composite job insecurity tends to decrease with schooling. Perceptions of job insecurity vary little by sex. Perceptions of job insecurity vary substantially by race, the main differences being that subjective probabilities of job loss among blacks tend to be nearly double those of whites. Self-employed workers see themselves as facing less job insecurity than do those who work for others. Workers tended to perceive less job insecurity in 1996 and 1997 than in 1994 and 1995. Expectations within groups are heterogeneous, the covariates (age, schooling, sex, race, employer, year) collectively explaining only a small part of the sample variation in worker expectations. Moving beyond descriptive analysis, the paper connects the empirical findings to modern theories of the labor market. A competing-risks formalization of job separations by the two routes of job loss and voluntary quits is used to draw conclusions about workers' expectations of exogenous job destruction in the year ahead. The theory of job search is used to interpret the empirical finding that the distribution of search-outcome expectations is symmetric and quite dispersed
Economic analysis of social interactions by Charles F Manski( Book )

13 editions published in 2000 in English and held by 62 WorldCat member libraries worldwide

Economists have long been ambivalent about whether the discipline should focus on the analysis of markets or should be concerned with social interactions more generally. Recently the discipline has sought to broaden its scope while maintaining the rigor of modern economic analysis. Major theoretical developments in game theory, the economics of the family, and endogenous growth theory have taken place. Economists have also performed new empirical research on social interactions, but the empirical literature does not show progress comparable to that achieved in economic theory. This paper examines why and discusses how economists might make sustained contributions to the empirical analysis of social interactions
Social Security expectations and retirement savings decisions by Jeff Dominitz( Book )

12 editions published in 2002 in English and held by 60 WorldCat member libraries worldwide

"Retirement savings decisions should depend on expectations of Social Security retirement income. Persons may be uncertain of their future Social Security benefits for several reasons, including uncertainty about their future labor earnings, the formula now determining social security benefits, and the future structure of the Social Security system. To learn how Americans perceive their benefits, we have elicited Social Security expectations from respondents to the Survey of Economic Expectations. We have also performed a more intensive face-to-face survey on a small sample of respondents. This paper presents the empirical findings. It also illustrates how data on expectations may help predict how Social Security policy affects retirement savings"--National Bureau of Economic Research web site
Elicitation of preferences by Baruch Fischhoff( Book )

11 editions published between 2000 and 2011 in English and held by 52 WorldCat member libraries worldwide

"Economists and psychologists have, on the whole, exhibited sharply different perspectives on the elicitation of preferences. Economists, who have made preference the central primitive in their thinking about human behavior, have for the most part rejected elicitation and have instead sought to infer preferences from observations of choice behavior. Psychologists, who have tended too think of preference as a context-determined subjective construct, have embraced elicitation as their dominant approach to measurement." "This volume, based on a symposium organized by Daniel McFadden at the University of California at Berkeley, provides a provocative and constructive engagement between economists and psychologists on the elicitation of preferences."--Jacket
Providing national statistics on health and social welfare programs in an era of change : summmary of a workshop by Constance F Citro( Book )

11 editions published in 1998 in English and Undetermined and held by 31 WorldCat member libraries worldwide

Assessment of two cost-effectiveness studies on cocaine control policy by National Research Council (U.S.)( Book )

10 editions published between 1900 and 1999 in English and held by 28 WorldCat member libraries worldwide

Evaluating food assistance programs in an era of welfare reform : summary of a workshop by National Research Council Staff( Book )

11 editions published between 1900 and 1999 in English and held by 28 WorldCat member libraries worldwide

On August 22, 1996, President Clinton signed the Personal Responsibility and Work Opportunity Reconciliation Act (PRWORA). This comprehensive welfare reform act replaced the entitlement status of Aid to Families with Dependent Children (AFDC) with the Temporary Assistance for Needy Families (TANF) block grant that now allows states to set their own eligibility standards and benefit levels for individuals. PRWORA emphasizes a "welfare to work" concept, including time limits for assistance, strong work requirements, a performance bonus to reward states for moving welfare recipients into jobs, and increased funding for child care. PRWORA also brought many changes to food assistance programs. These are discussed in detail in the main text of this workshop summary. The workshop discussions focused on the impact of PRWORA related changes in food assistance programs, not on the impact of these changes in public assistance more generally
 
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Identification problems in the social sciences
Alternative Names
Charles F. Manski Amerikaans econoom

Charles Manski économiste et économètre américain

Manski, C. F. 1948-

Manski, Chuck 1948-

Mansqiy Ṣ'arls 1948-....

Мански, Чарльз

מנסקי צ'רלס 1948-....

Languages
English (272)

German (2)

Covers
College choice in AmericaEvaluating welfare and training programsInforming America's policy on illegal drugs : what we don't know keeps hurting usIdentification for prediction and decisionPartial identification of probability distributionsSocial choice with partial knowledge of treatment responseElicitation of preferencesProviding national statistics on health and social welfare programs in an era of change : summmary of a workshop