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National Intelligence Council (U.S.)

Works: 148 works in 304 publications in 3 languages and 22,985 library holdings
Genres: History  Forecasts  Sources  Military history  Personal narratives  Conference papers and proceedings  Periodicals 
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Most widely held works by National Intelligence Council (U.S.)
Making policy in the shadow of the future by Gregory F Treverton( )

7 editions published in 2010 in English and held by 1,899 WorldCat member libraries worldwide

The National Intelligence Council's (NIC's) 2008 report Global Trends 2025: A Transformed World projects what the world will look like in 2025 based on recent trends. However, as an intelligence organization, the NIC limits its report to describing the impacts of future trends on the United States? it cannot explore the important question: How should U.S. policy adapt now to account for these trends and the future that will result from them? This paper takes on that task. It focuses on important issues for which a long-term perspective leads to different immediate choices for U.S. policy than would result from only a short-term perspective. These include energy and climate change; defense policy, including the diffusion of nuclear weapons and the movement to abolish them; the reshaping of international law and institutions; the structure of the federal government; and the U.S. relationship with Mexico. For some other issues, long- and short-term thinking produce similar conclusions; yet for still others, the two perspectives seem difficult to reconcile
Turkish-Iranian relations in a changing Middle East by F. Stephen Larrabee( )

5 editions published in 2013 in English and held by 1,089 WorldCat member libraries worldwide

Turkish-Iranian cooperation has visibly intensified in recent years, thanks in part to Turkish energy needs and Iran⁰́₉s vast oil and natural gas resources. However, Turkey and Iran tend to be rivals rather than close partners. While they may share certain economic and security interests, especially regarding the Kurdish issue, their interests are at odds in many areas across the Middle East. Turkey⁰́₉s support for the opposition in Syria, Iran⁰́₉s only true state ally in the Middle East, is one example. Iraq has also become a field of growing competition between Turkey and Iran. Iran⁰́₉s nuclear program has been a source of strain and divergence in U.S.-Turkish relations. However, the differences between the United States and Turkey regarding Iran⁰́₉s nuclear program are largely over tactics, not strategic goals. Turkey⁰́₉s main fear is that Iran⁰́₉s acquisition of nuclear arms could lead to a nuclear arms race in the Middle East. This, in turn, could increase pressure on the Turkish government to consider developing its own nuclear weapon capability. U.S. and Turkish interests have become more convergent since the onset of the Syrian crisis. However, while U.S. and Turkish interests in the Middle East closely overlap, they are not identical. Thus, the United States should not expect Turkey to follow its policy toward Iran unconditionally. Turkey has enforced United Nations sanctions against Iran but, given Ankara⁰́₉s close energy ties to Tehran, may be reluctant to undertake the harshest measures against Iran
Critical materials : present danger to U.S. manufacturing by R. S Silberglitt( )

6 editions published in 2013 in English and held by 876 WorldCat member libraries worldwide

The United States economy, and especially its manufacturing sector, is dependent on the supply of raw and semi-finished materials used to make products. While the United States has extensive mineral resources and is a leading global materials producer, a high percentage of many materials critical to U.S. manufacturing are imported, sometimes from a country that has the dominant share of a material⁰́₉s global production and export. This report specifically identifies 14 critical materials for which production is concentrated in countries with weak governance, as indicated by the World Governance Indicators published by the World Bank. China is the controlling producer of 11 of these critical raw materials, nine of which have been identified as having high economic importance and high supply risk. As its market share and domestic consumption of critical materials has grown, China has instituted production controls, export restrictions, mine closings, and company consolidations that have led to two-tier pricing, which creates pressure to move manufacturing to China and contributes to strong price increases for these materials on the world market. To mitigate the impact of these market distortions on the global manufacturing sector, this report suggests the need for actions that (1) increase resiliency to supply disruptions or market distortions and (2) provide early warning of developing problems concerning the concentration of production
Estimative products on Vietnam, 1948-1975( Book )

6 editions published in 2005 in English and held by 664 WorldCat member libraries worldwide

Accompanying CD-ROM contains full text of the 38 papers included in the printed text and 138 other declassified documents
Tracking the dragon : national intelligence estimates on China during the era of Mao, 1948-1976 by National Intelligence Council (U.S.)( Book )

8 editions published in 2004 in English and held by 654 WorldCat member libraries worldwide

Saddam's generals : perspectives of the Iran-Iraq War( Book )

4 editions published in 2011 in English and held by 649 WorldCat member libraries worldwide

Overview: This monograph represents a continuation of a series of research efforts designed to extend the knowledge of the contemporary Middle East, military history, and Iraqi military effectiveness during the course of three major wars: the Iran-Iraq War, the First Gulf War, and Operation Iraqi Freedom. This second volume is based on interviews with figures significant in the Iran-Iraq War, extensive examination and study of captured Iraqi records, and a review of secondary sources. The interviews presented here involve not only lengthy discussions with Lieutenant General Ra'ad Majid Rashid al-Hamdani, staff officer and battalion commander during the Iran-Iraq War, whom the Project 1946 research team had interviewed before, but similar types of discussions with a number of senior Iraqi military leaders who played key parts in the Iran-Iraq War. These were Major General Mizher Rashid al-Tarfa al-Ubaydi, a senior officer and section leader in Iraq's military intelligence service dealing with Iran during the conflict; Major General (ret) Aladdin Hussein Makki Khamas, corps chief of staff, division commander, and director of Iraq's Combat Development Directorate during the war; Lieutenant General Abid Mohammed al-Kabi, commander-in-chief of the Iraqi Navy from 1982 to 1988; and Major General 'Alwan Hassoun 'Alwan al-Abousi, a squadron and wing commander during the conflict. As a result of these interviews, the Project 1946 team deepened and extended its understanding of a number of aspects and incidents during the period. Among the insights gained were: 1) the growth of Iraqi intelligence capabilities during the war's course, 2) the growth of Saddam's perceptions on the nature of war and his broadening understanding of the naval and air wars, 3) the development of Iraqi military doctrine, 4) the lack of a clear strategic or operational vision among Iraq's leaders, military as well as civilian, at the beginning of the war, and 5) the difficulties the Iraqis confronted in incorporating technology and modern conceptions of war into military organizations that did not possess a high level of education"--Page 5-6
Global trends 2015 [electronic resource] : a dialogue about the future with nongovernment experts by National Intelligence Council (U.S.)( )

7 editions published in 2000 in English and Undetermined and held by 607 WorldCat member libraries worldwide

Major conferences cosponsored by the NIC with other government and private centers in support of Global Trends 2015 included: Foreign Reactions to the Revolution in Military Affairs (Georgetown University), Evolution of the Nation-State (University of Maryland), Trends in Democratization (CIA and academic experts), American Economic Power (Industry & Trade Strategies, San Francisco, CA), Transformation of Defense Industries (International Institute for Strategic Studies, London, UK), Alternative Futures in War and Conflict (Defense Intelligence Agency and Naval War College, Newport, RI, and CIA), Out of the Box and Into the Future: A Dialogue Between Warfighters and Scientists on Far Future Warfare (Potomac Institute, Arlington, VA), Future Threat Technologies Symposium (MITRE Corporation, McLean, VA), The Global Course of the Information Revolution: Technological Trends (RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, CA), The Global Course of the Information Revolution: Political, Economic, and Social Consequences (RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, CA), The Middle East: The Media, Information Technology, and the Internet (The National Defense University). Fort McNair, Washington, DC), Global Migration Trends and Their Implications for the United States (Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, Washington, DC), and Alternative Global Futures: 2000-2015 (Department of State/Bureau of Intelligence and Research and CIA's Global Futures Project)
Mapping the global future : report of the National Intelligence Council's 2020 Project, based on consultations with nongovernmental experts around the world by National Intelligence Council (U.S.)( Book )

16 editions published between 2004 and 2007 in English and held by 594 WorldCat member libraries worldwide

This Web site is an electronic version of the National Intelligence Council's 2004 report, Mapping the global future. This report addresses the NIC's 2020 Project and offers a fresh look at how key global trends might develop over the next decade and a half to influence world events. Find out how the report was put together and after what series of events. Explore the issues that are key to our future such as: cyber warfare, organized crime, the geopolitics of gas, Europe as a superpower, and Chinese economic growth
The future of the information revolution in Latin America : proceedings of an international conference by Gregory F Treverton( )

3 editions published in 2001 in English and held by 469 WorldCat member libraries worldwide

Reports the results of a conference held to chart the future course of changes brought about by the revolution in information technology (IT) in Latin America. Although there are vast differences among Latin American nations, they face many similar problems. Their governments, though relatively important users of IT, have taken a "fiscal" rather than a "consumer" viewpoint, so that IT products remain expensive. E-commerce has been hampered by people's lack of credit cards and the lack of infrastructure for delivering purchases, and there are few Internet start-up companies because of a lack of financing. However, the successful experience of some nations, such as Costa Rica and several of the island states, has shown that it is not necessary to create IT products to use them effectively. NAFTA gives Mexico a special set of connections to the United States, including in IT. Mexico weathered the financial crises of the 1990s better than other regions because it was so closely tied to a booming U.S. economy. Although desires for national or regional autonomy will persist in Latin America, autonomy should not mean disconnecting but rather trying to structure connections to the global economy in a way that will provide maximum advantage to the nation and its citizens
Law of the sea : the end game by National Intelligence Council (U.S.)( )

3 editions published in 1996 in English and held by 379 WorldCat member libraries worldwide

Growing global migration and its implications for the United States by États-Unis( )

5 editions published in 2001 in English and held by 336 WorldCat member libraries worldwide

Examines the growing global movement of people and its implications for the United States. Study examines the political, economic, social, and security issues raised by increased migration, including the extent to which some countries may try to use migration as leverage in bilateral relations
Foreign legal and regulatory landscape : its effect upon the development and growth of e-commerce( )

5 editions published between 2000 and 2001 in English and Undetermined and held by 332 WorldCat member libraries worldwide

East Asia and the United States : current status and five-year outlook : conference report( )

3 editions published in 2000 in English and held by 327 WorldCat member libraries worldwide

Global governance 2025 : at a critical juncture by Mathew Burrows( )

5 editions published between 2010 and 2011 in English and Korean and held by 326 WorldCat member libraries worldwide

"This report analyzes the gap between current international governance institutions, organizations and norms and the demands for global governance likely to be posed by long-term strategic challenges over the next 15 years. The report is the product of research and analysis by the NIC and EUISS following a series of international dialogues co-organized by the Atlantic Council, TPN, and other partner organizations in Beijing, Tokyo, Dubai, New Delhi, Pretoria, Sao Paulo & Brasilia, Moscow, and Paris."--Publisher's website
Global trends( )

in English and held by 324 WorldCat member libraries worldwide

SARS : down but still a threat by Karen Monaghan( )

2 editions published in 2003 in English and held by 322 WorldCat member libraries worldwide

This Intelligence Community Assessment (ICA) highlights the evolution of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) and the potential implications of the disease for the United States under future scenarios. Even though SARS has infected and killed far fewer people than other common infectious diseases, it has had a disproportionately large economic and political impact because it spread in areas with broad international commercial links and received intense media attention as a mysterious new illness that seemed able to go anywhere and hit anyone. As the first infectious disease to emerge as a new cause of human illness in the 21st century, SARS underscores the growing importance of health issues in a globalized world. The future course of SARS will depend on a host of complex variables, making forecasting difficult. We constructed three scenarios to highlight various challenges that SARS might pose in the future. Scenario 1: SARS could resurface this fall but be limited to random outbreaks in a few countries, rendering it more of a public health nuisance than a crisis. Rapid activation of local and international surveillance systems would be key to containing the spread. Scenario 2: SARS could spread to poor countries in Africa or Asia, potentially generating more infections and deaths than before, but with relatively little international economic impact. The risk of spread would continue, however, even if SARS emerged in poor countries or isolated regions of Russia and China with weak health care systems. Scenario 3: SARS could come back this fall in the places it hit before -- such as China, Taiwan, Canada, and Singapore -- or hit harder in other well-connected places like the United States, Japan, Europe, India, or Brazil. Even if the number of infected persons were not significantly greater, the resurgence of the disease in globally linked countries probably would generate a significant impact again
Federalism in Russian how is it working? : conference report, 9-10 December, 1998( )

2 editions published in 1999 in English and held by 320 WorldCat member libraries worldwide

Recent Chinese leadership priorities and their implications for the United States findings of a NIC informal China advisory group meeting( )

1 edition published in 1999 in English and held by 317 WorldCat member libraries worldwide

Mapping the future of the Middle East : a report prepared for the National Intelligence Council based on a workshop held on 16 May 2005( )

1 edition published in 2005 in English and held by 310 WorldCat member libraries worldwide

CIA activities in Chile by National Intelligence Council (U.S.)( )

3 editions published in 2000 in English and held by 310 WorldCat member libraries worldwide

Review of relevant CIA records of the period predominantly from recent document searches; studied extensive Congressional reports regarding US activities in Chile in the 1960s and 1970s
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Estimative products on Vietnam, 1948-1975
Estimative products on Vietnam, 1948-1975Tracking the dragon : national intelligence estimates on China during the era of Mao, 1948-1976Mapping the global future : report of the National Intelligence Council's 2020 Project, based on consultations with nongovernmental experts around the worldThe future of the information revolution in Latin America : proceedings of an international conference
Alternative Names
Amerikas Savienotās Valstis. Central Intelligence Agency. National Intelligence Council

Intelligence Council

Intelligence Council United States

Nacionalʹnyj razvedyvatelʹnyj sovet

Nacionalʹnyj Razvedyvatelʹnyj Sovet United States

Narodowa Rada Wywiadu USA.

National Intelligence Council

National Intelligence Council (ASV)

National Intelligence Council (Spojené státy americké)

National Intelligence Council United States

Nat︠s︡ionalʹnyĭ razvedyvatelʹnyĭ sovet SShA

Nemzeti Hírszerzési Tanács


NIC (National Intelligence Council)

NIC (National Intelligence Council, USA)

Sjedinjene Američke Države. National Intelligence Council

Spojené státy americké. Central Intelligence Agency. National Intelligence Council

Spojené státy americké Národní zpravodajská rada

Spojené státy americké National Intelligence Council

United States. Central Intelligence Agency. National Intelligence Council.

United States Nacionalʹnyj Razvedyvatelʹnyj Sovet

United States National Intelligence Council

USA Nacionalʹnyj razvedyvatelʹnyj sovet

USA. National Intelligence Council


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English (105)

Russian (1)

Korean (1)