Front cover image for Private real estate investment data analysis and decision making

Private real estate investment data analysis and decision making

Print Book, English, cop. 2005
Elsevier Academic Press, Amsterdam, cop. 2005
Ressources Internet
1 vol. (XXI-282 p.) : ill. ; 24 cm + 1 CD-ROM (4 3/4 in.).
9780121377519, 9780120885329, 0121377512, 0120885328
491913385
Prefacexiii
Acknowledgementsxix
1. Why Location Matters: The Bid Rent Surface and Theory of Rent Determination
Introduction
1(2)
Classical Location Theory
2(1)
Notation Guide
2(1)
The Model
3(4)
Example #1-Two Competing Users in the Same Industry
3(2)
Example #2-Several Competing Users in Different Industries
5(2)
Is the Bid Rent Curve Linear?
7(1)
Empirical Verification
8(4)
An Economic Topographical Map
12(1)
Relaxing the Assumptions
13(3)
A Window to the Future
16(1)
References
17(2)
2. Land Use Regulation
Introduction
19(4)
Who Shall Decide-The Problem of Externalities
20(3)
The Idea of Utility
23(1)
The Model
24(3)
Optimization and Comparative Statics
27(1)
A Graphic Illustration
28(4)
Implications
32(1)
A Case Study in Aesthetic Regulation
32(4)
Conclusion
36(1)
References
37(1)
Appendix: Comparative Statics for Chapter 2
37(2)
3. The "Rules of Thumb": Threshold Performance Measures for Real Estate Investment
Introduction
39(4)
Threshold Performance Measures
40(2)
A General Caution
42(1)
The Gross Rent Multiplier (GRM)
43(6)
What Not to Do
44(1)
What Should be Done
45(4)
Capitalization Rate (CR)
49(18)
The Three Bad Assumptions
49(1)
Capitalization Rate and Discounted Cash Flow Analysis
50(2)
Monotonic Growth
52(2)
The Expense Ratio and the "Honest" Capitalization Rate
54(2)
The Normal Approach to Data
56(4)
Questioning the Assumption of Normality
60(2)
The Stable Approach to Data
62(1)
Linear Relationships
62(2)
Linear Transformations
64(1)
Spurious Relationships
64(3)
Cash-on-Cash Return (C/C)
67(1)
Price Per Unit (PPU)
67(4)
Other Data Issues
71(1)
References
72(1)
4. Fundamental Real Estate Analysis
Introduction
73(2)
The Role of Computational Aids
73(2)
Deterministic Variables of Discounted Cash Flow Analysis
75(1)
Single Year Relationships and Project Data
76(2)
Multi-Year Relationships
78(1)
Sale Variables Relationships
79(2)
The Net Present Value
81(1)
Insight into the Analysis
82(5)
An Illustration of Bargaining
87(3)
Another Growth Function
90(3)
Data Issues
93(5)
Conclusion
98(1)
References
98(1)
5. Chance: Risk in General
Introduction
99(2)
Objective and Subjective Risk
100(1)
Games of Chance and Risk Bearing
101(3)
The Utility Function Revisited
104(3)
The "Certainty Equivalent" Approach
107(4)
Multiple (More than Two) Outcomes
111(1)
The Continuous Normal Case
112(4)
Conclusion
116(1)
References
117(2)
6. Uncertainty: Risk in Real Estate
Introduction
119(2)
Non-normality-How and Where Does it Fit?
119(2)
The Continuous Stable Case
121(6)
Producing a Stable pdf
123(3)
Still More Distributions?
126(1)
Enter Real Estate
127(1)
Determinism
128(3)
Determinism and House Prices
131(4)
Determinism and Real Estate Investment
135(3)
Risk and Uncertainty
138(3)
Rolling the Dice
141(4)
Real Estate-The "Have it Your Way" Game
145(2)
The Payoff
147(3)
Data Issues
150(2)
Conclusion
152(1)
References
153(4)
7. The Tax Deferred Exchange
Introduction
157(5)
Taxes are Less Certain for Real Estate Investors
158(2)
Variable Definitions
160(1)
The Structure of the Examples
161(1)
The Base Case: Purchase-Hold-Sell
162(1)
Example 1-Modifying the Growth Projection
163(4)
Example 2-The Tax Deferred Exchange Strategy
167(15)
Exchange Variable Definitions
168(5)
The Value of Tax Deferral
173(3)
The Sale-and-Repurchase Strategy: Tax Deferral as a Risk Modifier
176(2)
The Sale-and-Better-Repurchase Strategy: The Cost of Exchanging
178(4)
Example 3-Exchanging and The Plodder
182(3)
Data Issues
185(1)
Conclusion
186(2)
References
188(1)
8. The Management Problem
Introduction
189(1)
The Unavoidable Management Issue
189(1)
The Property Manager's Dilemma
190(5)
Is Building Size Really Important?
193(2)
The Property Owner's Dilemma
195(3)
The "No Vacancy Rate" Approach
195(2)
Enter the Vacancy Rate
197(1)
Reconciling the Two Problems
198(3)
Data Issues
201(1)
Conclusion
202(1)
References
203(1)
Appendix: A Caution On the Use of Data to Construct Theories
204(5)
Making Vacancy and Rental Rates Reasonable
204(1)
The Model to End all Models
205(4)
9. The Lender's Dilemma
Introduction
209(1)
Lenders and their Rules
209(1)
Appraisal Techniques
210(3)
The Capitalization Rate Approach Versus the Mortgage Equity Approach
210(2)
The Lender's Perspective
212(1)
The Borrower's Perspective
212(1)
Irrational Exuberance and the Madness of Crowds
213(4)
Bubble Theory-How High is Up?
217(14)
Positive Leverage
217(4)
The Lender as Governor
221(1)
Resolving the Conflict
222(2)
Three Two-Dimensional (2D) Illustrations
224(3)
Endgame
227(4)
Data Issues
231(4)
Conclusion
235(1)
References
235(2)
10. The Private Lender
Introduction
237(1)
The "Hard Money" Loan Versus the "Purchase Money" Loan
238(4)
The Diversification Problem
238(1)
Other Possibilities
239(1)
Did We Make a Loan or Did We Buy the Property?
240(2)
The Installment Sale
242(2)
The Motivation of the Parties
244(1)
The Buyer
244(1)
The Seller
245(3)
The Installment Sale Transaction
248(1)
Is the Seller's Financing a Good Deal for The Buyer?
248(7)
The NPV Test
249(1)
An IRR Test
250(1)
A Simple "Tax Blind" Test
250(3)
A Prepayment Penalty
253(2)
Conclusion
255(2)
Reference
257(2)
11. Creative Financing
Introduction
259(1)
Retirement and Creative Financing
259(1)
A Life Estate
260(1)
A Zero Coupon Bond
261(1)
The Retiree's Dilemma
261(6)
The Conventional Arrangement
262(3)
The Reverse Amortization Mortgage
265(2)
Intra-Family Alternatives
267(4)
The Income Viewpoint
268(1)
The Larger House Viewpoint
269(2)
The Remainderman's Position
271(2)
The Income Case
271(1)
The Larger House Case
272(1)
Conclusion
273(1)
References
274(5)
Index279